Monthly Archives: October 2025

694. Our Very Own Alternate Reality

Why is the bird here? He is a peaceful hope while we look at an ugly reality.

Our Very Own Alternate Reality

In these four posts we have come full circle, through a brief history of science fiction, which was stuffed into an even more brief history of five presidencies. Now we have meandered back to the subject of assassinations..

On November 22, 1963, John Kennedy was assassinated.

On July 13th, 2024, Donald Trump was almost assassinated.

On September 10th, 2025, Charlie Kirk was assassinated, which started this train of posts.

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For at least a century, a staple of science fiction has been stories of alternate realities, and many of them begin with an assassination. In Keith Roberts Pavane, the assassination of Queen Elizabeth the first, on the eve of the invasion by the Spanish Armada, returned England to the Catholic fold and gave us a semi-modern world that still looks a lot like the Middle Ages.

Neat idea. Beautiful novel. But would you want to live in it?

Assassins are a strange breed. They are willing to change the future for all of us through an act that is far less certain than a roll of the dice.

Consider John Wilkes Booth. What if his derringer had misfired? We would never have heard of him. He would be lost to history along with the other would be assassin of Lincoln who made an attempt a year earlier.

If Booth had failed and Lincoln had lived, how different would our history be? How different would reconstruction have been? One person, even a well intentioned president, probably could not have completely forestalled the Jim Crow era, but it might have been a great deal less harsh.

A similar question — would the Viet Nam war have been so protracted if Kennedy had lived? No one knows.

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You might well ask why I am even bringing up the subject? Assassination is morally wrong. Isn’t that enough?

Are you sure you feel that way? What if someone in 1938 had assassinated Adolph Hitler? Wouldn’t we all be better off?

I think most people would ignore morality — or argue it away — and opt for a world without Hitler. If any one of us had been in the crowd in Nuremberg in 1938, with a rifle, a clear shot, and a sure means of escape, it would have been hard not to pull the trigger.

But what if Hitler’s replacement had the same goals, and the same hatred for the Allies because of the harsh treatment Germany received in the treaty of Versailles at the end of World War I? (It is a legitimate position.) What if the new leader were not an anti-Semite, and all those Jewish scientists had not defected to the west, like Albert Einstein did?

If all those Jewish-German scientists had perfected the atomic bomb first and used it effectively, we might all be dead.

When a science fiction writer sits down to change the world by introducing a change in the past, it can be great fun. I know. I’ve done it. But contemplating an assassination in the real world is a whole different thing.

Of course I’m sure none of you are thinking about doing anything like that. Eh?

Well, maybe one or two of you — and you are the ones I’m talking to. Before you load up your deer rifle and set out to save humanity, I have just one question.

Are you really sure what the result will be? Maybe you should just think it over for a while.

Go sit under a tree and watch the squirrels play. Eat a good meal. Drink a beer. Make love.

You’ll feel better in the morning.

Peace

693. New Wave, New Frontier

New Wave, New Frontier

We choose to go to the Moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard . . .

John F. Kennedy, September 12, 1962

Eisenhower, Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon.  Eisenhower began the space program, Johnson saw it through, and Nixon got to be the president who placed a phone call to the first man on the moon. Nevertheless, it is Kennedy we most closely associate with space, largely due to the speech above.

Kennedy’s presidency was short — January 20, 1961 to November 22, 1963 — two years and ten months.

He began by creating the Peace Corps, then failed to provide air support for the Bay of Pigs fiasco. He saw the USSR build the Berlin Wall, faced Khrushchev in the Cuban Missile Crisis, and gave support to Civil Rights activists — but not enough support in the eyes of many.

Kennedy was a young man undergoing extreme on-the-job training. He was beloved by many and hated by many — nothing unusual in that — but a full and balanced evaluation of his Presidency is not possible because it was cut short.

What we can say for certain is that he was a modern President in all senses, and it was his charisma that set us on a path to the moon.

And then he was gone.

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Meanwhile, regarding science fiction . . .

In 1961 Arthur C. Clarke’s A Fall of Moondust became the first SF novel selected to be a Readers Digest condensed book. That seems about right, since Moondust was Clarke at his most bland.

A Clockwork Orange, The Man in the High Castle, Cat’s Cradle, Dune, and Planet of the Apes also came out during the Kennedy years, and they were not bland.

About that same time a movement occurred inside SF which became known as the New Wave. That’s a problematical name, like Roosevelt’s New Deal. The New Deal isn’t so new 93 years later. The New Wave isn’t so new 60-some years later either. Still, if felt new while it was happening.

If a young SF fan today were to read something from the New Wave for the first time, they would be likely to say, “But didn’t people always write like this?” No, they didn’t. Before the New Wave, SF writing covered new and exciting concepts, but the style was generally pretty stodgy.

The New Wave was the era of Harlan Ellison, Ursula K. Le Guin, J.G. Ballard, and Roger Zelazny. And many others, but I am mentioning my favorites. I had loved SF before these folks came along, but the fact is, they just wrote better than those who came before them.

By the time the New Wave had been digested and made the norm, science fiction had generally reached it’s present stage. It was, and still is, a genre loved by a few, read by many, and avoided by even larger numbers. It’s style and tenor is no longer particularly distinguishable from the mainstream. There are a few best-sellers and a lot of stories that appear briefly then disappear into the ooze of indifference.

There were still a few changes to come before we would reach 2025. Computers would make writing — and especially revising — easier, so books got longer. Much longer. In the seventies, SF novels often ran 50,000 words. Today you would have a hard time selling one unless it was twice that long.

No agent or editor in the seventies would have even opened a Neal Stephenson manuscript.

Computers were at the heart of the other main change since the Kennedy/Johnson era. Special effects made it possible to create believable futuristic movies and television programs. While I offer no comments on the variable quality of story and acting, modern SF movies look beautiful. It is no wonder the center of SF attention has moved from books toward video.

I object to that, but who cares what I think.

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When Kennedy was inaugurated, there were about 3000 Americans in Viet Nam. They were not called troops; they were called advisors. By the time Kennedy was assassinated, that number had grown to about 16,000.

Then Lyndon Johnson took over. He lied to the American people. He lied to Congress. He posted weekly kill-counts that were entirely imaginary. He promised victory. He expanded American military activities to adjacent countries. It gained him reelection in 1964, and cost him the chance to run again in 1968.

Nixon won and — in my opinion, since no one will ever know what really went on in that man’s mind — rode the war and the faltering peace talks to reelection in 1972. The he declared victory and pulled out.

Viet Nam fell.

Nixon could have pulled out four years earlier, with the same result. Johnson could have pulled out eight years earlier, with the same result. There would have been one difference, however.

Fifty some thousand Americans died in Viet Nam. According to Encyclopedia Britannica, an estimated two million counting all countries died due to the Viet Nam war. They didn’t need to die.

I occasionally meet Viet Nam vets who wear caps reminding us of their service. I have no quarrel with them. They were sent, they went, they did what their country told them to do. And there but for the grace of God go I.

I was also in that draft, and I enlisted. I spent my four years stateside, but that was nothing but luck. I could have gone over like the ones wearing the Vietnam Vet caps. And if I had, I could now be sixty years in the grave.

Tens of thousands of us knew Viet Nam was a mistake and said so. No one listened. I’m still angry, and I make no apologies for that.

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Bouncing back to science fiction again — to the SF of alternate realities — here is the question all this poses. What would Kennedy have done, if he had lived?

We can’t know the answer; we can only speculate. Kennedy made big mistakes, then stood tall against Khrushchev. He learned. Would he have learned enough? Maybe not — but maybe he would have.

Folks, we are living in our very own alternate reality, initiated by Lee Harvey Oswald on November 22. 1963.

I also have a question for Oswald himself. Why did you shoot Kennedy that day in Dallas? Did you think you were going to make the world a better place?

What were you thinking?

The discussion concludes next week.

692. The Space Age Begins

The Space Age Begins

Britain measures eras by the reign of its Kings and Queens. America measures eras by Presidents. In our look at the beginnings of science fiction, we are about to enter the Truman/Eisenhower era, even though neither man will be our focus.

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Hiroshima changed everything.

Science fiction people had read Einstein, or had tried to, so they knew about nuclear fission. They knew that an atom bomb could be built, and were expecting it. A few even got in trouble because they used atom bombs in stories, when the FBI was convinced they had it locked into secrecy.

For the rest of the country, Hiroshima was a shock to the heart.

It didn’t take long for the Russians to get the A bomb. Then we got the H bomb. Then the Russians got the H bomb. Welcome to my childhood.

Suddenly the future had become the present. Everybody was still driving ancient looking cars (no cars had been produced during WW II) and dressing like people in the old movies, but their world had been ripped open by futuristic perils.

Literature reacted to the situation. The Saturday Evening Post, that bastion of American norms, broke tradition and published a science fiction short story, The Green Hills of Earth by Robert Heinlein. Colliers Weekly published Wernher von Braun’s article Man Will Conquer Space Soon.

Von Braun also partnered with Disney to produce three episodes of Disneyland (as the Disney TV program was then called). The first, in March of 1955, was called Man in Space. This was followed by Man and the Moon and Mars and Beyond is later seasons. These were humorous and relied heavily on cartoon animation, but they showed American youth what the future held in store.

Eisenhower’s presidency saw a worsening of the Cold War, the rise of ICBM’s to deliver H bombs, and the development of satellites. The push for space flight had been properly begun. NASA was formed in 1958.

Space flight is key to science fiction, but it is by no means the whole of the genre. SF, by its nature, is always out ahead of contemporary science, and the giants of science fiction were producing major works during this period. The main difference from the golden age was that there were more novels, fewer short stories, and people had stopped laughing at the genre.

This was the era of Arthur C. Clarke’s Childhood’s End and Issac Asimov’s Foundation trilogy, while Robert Heinlein revised his novella Methuselah’s Children into a full novel.

This era also saw the rise of near future “science fiction”. The quotation marks are there to point out that this wasn’t really science fiction at all, because it was reacting, not predicting. Atomic power, atom bombs, jets, and rockets had been the stock in trade of science fiction fifty years earlier when they did not exist. Now they were the stock in trade of mainstream writers because they did exist.

Fail Safe was probably the most notable of these near future science fiction novels. It began as a short story in 1959 and was revised into a novel that appeared in 1962. In it, an American bomber is mistakenly on route to destroy Moscow with nuclear bombs. The American President, who cannot call back the bomber, must sacrifice millions of American lives to avert a world destroying all out nuclear war.

On the Beach was even more somber.  Years after a nuclear war, people of Melbourne, Australia wait for inevitable death as fallout from the northern hemisphere drifts down upon them.

No fun novels for a no fun time.

There were many others. Philip Wylie, who was already an established science fiction writer, turned out Tomorrow and Triumph. I read both in high school.

This new sub-genre of science fiction continued to gain readers who might never have read Clarke or Heinlein. In 1984 it reached apotheosis when Tom Clancy published The Hunt for Red October.

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Over the course of this blog, fifty year anniversaries of events from the early space program kept happening, and I kept writing about them. By the time of my covid hiatus, those posts had grown into a book to be called Brief but Glorious.

Of all the books I plan to e-publish, it is the most dubious. Not the text — that’s fine — but I want to illustrate it heavily with NASA photos, and I don’t know what kind of technical problems that will cause. I have tentatively scheduled it for October 2027, but that could change. I’ll keep you posted.

The discussion continues next week.

691. Science Fiction Begins

Science Fiction Begins

If you don’t like that title, here’s a longer one.

Science fiction begins as literature, becomes a genre, sinks to a sub-literate state in the eyes of the intelligentsia, regains legitimacy in the Saturday Evening Post, and then consumes the universe.

I like the short one better. And by the way, this is just a quick survey. If you don’t like the way I’ve chopped up history, write your own. After all, most SF “scholars” disagree — on everything.

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Science fiction has been around for a long time, although the early stuff is hardly recognizable. You could make the argument that it truly began when writers started using machines instead of supernatural beings to do marvelous things. That is why we look to H. G. Wells instead of Charles Dickens for the beginning of time travel stories.

Scrooge visited the past, present, and future, but it took three spirits (plus Marley) to pull it off. Wells did it with a time machine.

Jules Verne’s Five Weeks in a Balloon (1863) and H. G. Wells’s The Time Machine (1895) are a good enough place to start looking at science fiction. Both were considered literature from the beginning. Verne’s writing style was held up for emulation by the French establishment. H. G. Wells was a respected social commentator. In that same era, Edward Bellamy’s Looking Backward was a call for society to perfect itself — science fiction ideas spoken by the voice of the elite.

But what if you are an outsider, with a coarser voice?

Later, rougher, more exciting writers of science fiction didn’t fit the proper mold. They were frequently not all that interested in uplift, they just liked the idea of the future. Their characters were more likely to carry a ray gun than to address Parliament. Through the early decades of the twentieth century a whole generation of young men (and a few young women) found excitement in reading this kind of science fiction presented in the form of short stories in inexpensive specialty magazines.

This period, beginning in the thirties and lasting until roughly World War II, was often called the Golden Age of Science Fiction. (Remember, golden ages are always in the past somewhere.) A great deal of high quality science fiction was produced, along with the usual kinderdrivel. Science fiction had left the mainstream and become a niche interest, ignored or derided by most people.

Science fiction also acquired its own name. The Time Machine was just called a novel when it was published, but now science fiction had become a genre. Calling it sci-fi was forbidden by those who loved it. Everybody else just considered it cheap trash.

I wasn’t there for all that. For most of the Golden Age, I wasn’t born yet. I saw the science fiction of the golden age when it was reprinted in the paperback books published in the sixties, seventies, and eighties.

My actual connection with Golden Age magazines was brief but exciting. A few of them were still around when I began writing, and my first publication was in Galaxy. It was a novella called To Go Not Gently, and the cover of Vol. 39, No. 6, 1978, showed my character Ram David Singh walking uneasily down the Avenue of Abominations in New Bombay. I was over the moon.

It was also the last issue of Galaxy, although there were later attempts at resurrection.

So science fiction began as just a part of normal literature, then went on the gain an intense fan base as well as the disdain of everyone else. Heinlein and history were about to change that.

The discussion continues next week.

690. Fighting Stupidity With Stupidity

Gavin Newsom

Fighting Stupidity With Stupidity

The cliché is “fighting fire with fire”. Sometimes it makes sense to fight fire with fire. Sometimes it doesn’t.

This time the cliché should read “fighting a danger to our democracy with another danger to our democracy”, which explains the title of this post.

I’ve been giving President Trump a hard time and I plan to continue to do so, but he isn’t the only politician endangering our system of government, and they aren’t all MAGA. My home state of California has come up with a plan to counter the Trump agenda which is as dangerous as anything Trump is doing.

It’s called Prop 50. It’s all in the news here, but if you live in Paducah or Peoria, it may be new to you. When Texas, following Trump’s call, unfairly redistricted its congressional map, Democratic leadership in California, following Governor Gavin Newsom, followed suit. Before I can tell you exactly what they did, a little background will be needed.

Since 2010, California had done its redistricting through the Citizens Redistricting Commission, a balanced panel of five Democrats, five Republicans, and four members unaffiliated with either party. This board was brought about the people through Proposition 11, and later modified by Proposition 20. Its redistricting map is probably as fair as anyone could expect.

Now the Democratic leadership has produced Proposition 50 which throws out the CRC redistricting map in favor of one which completely and openly favors Democrats. They make no apologies, but call it a necessary reaction to the unfair actions of the State of Texas. The Citizens Redistricting Commission is not disbanded by Prop 50; it will draw the 2030-2040 map after the 2030 census, but the 2026, 2028, and 2030 elections will be skewed Democratic. Deliberately. Openly. Nakedly. And without apology.

Since this is a proposition, it will be up to the people of California to vote this in — or not.

I suppose the California Democrats who wrote Prop 50 will call this fighting fire with fire. I agree, if they mean, “You Republicans set fire to one end of the Constitution, so we Democrats are going to set fire to the other end.”

Welcome to 2025. If this had happened any other year, I would have suspected I was reading a script from Saturday Night Live, but apparently this is the way we do things now.

We shouldn’t.

Our country is in serious trouble and it needs serious leaders. It needs people in office who trust the Constitution. It needs Democrats who do not simply copy what the MAGA Republicans are doing and call it justified.

You shoved me, so I’m going to shove you is not a reasonable political philosophy.

He did it first, is not an excuse for violating responsible political behavior.

The only good thing that could come out of this would be a sound defeat for Prop. 50. I expect it to go down, because I trust the people of California.

As always, folks, its all up to you.