Why is the bird here? He is a peaceful hope while we look at an ugly reality.
Our Very Own Alternate Reality
In these four posts we have come full circle, through a brief history of science fiction, which was stuffed into an even more brief history of five presidencies. Now we have meandered back to the subject of assassinations..
On November 22, 1963, John Kennedy was assassinated.
On July 13th, 2024, Donald Trump was almost assassinated.
On September 10th, 2025, Charlie Kirk was assassinated, which started this train of posts.
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For at least a century, a staple of science fiction has been stories of alternate realities, and many of them begin with an assassination. In Keith Roberts Pavane, the assassination of Queen Elizabeth the first, on the eve of the invasion by the Spanish Armada, returned England to the Catholic fold and gave us a semi-modern world that still looks a lot like the Middle Ages.
Neat idea. Beautiful novel. But would you want to live in it?
Assassins are a strange breed. They are willing to change the future for all of us through an act that is far less certain than a roll of the dice.
Consider John Wilkes Booth. What if his derringer had misfired? We would never have heard of him. He would be lost to history along with the other would be assassin of Lincoln who made an attempt a year earlier.
If Booth had failed and Lincoln had lived, how different would our history be? How different would reconstruction have been? One person, even a well intentioned president, probably could not have completely forestalled the Jim Crow era, but it might have been a great deal less harsh.
A similar question — would the Viet Nam war have been so protracted if Kennedy had lived? No one knows.
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You might well ask why I am even bringing up the subject? Assassination is morally wrong. Isn’t that enough?
Are you sure you feel that way? What if someone in 1938 had assassinated Adolph Hitler? Wouldn’t we all be better off?
I think most people would ignore morality — or argue it away — and opt for a world without Hitler. If any one of us had been in the crowd in Nuremberg in 1938, with a rifle, a clear shot, and a sure means of escape, it would have been hard not to pull the trigger.
But what if Hitler’s replacement had the same goals, and the same hatred for the Allies because of the harsh treatment Germany received in the treaty of Versailles at the end of World War I? (It is a legitimate position.) What if the new leader were not an anti-Semite, and all those Jewish scientists had not defected to the west, like Albert Einstein did?
If all those Jewish-German scientists had perfected the atomic bomb first and used it effectively, we might all be dead.
When a science fiction writer sits down to change the world by introducing a change in the past, it can be great fun. I know. I’ve done it. But contemplating an assassination in the real world is a whole different thing.
Of course I’m sure none of you are thinking about doing anything like that. Eh?
Well, maybe one or two of you — and you are the ones I’m talking to. Before you load up your deer rifle and set out to save humanity, I have just one question.
Are you really sure what the result will be? Maybe you should just think it over for a while.
Go sit under a tree and watch the squirrels play. Eat a good meal. Drink a beer. Make love.
You’ll feel better in the morning.
Peace





